The XBroker: March 2007

The Mortgage Cartel and the Need for Transparent Search

 Ive had some heated (and circular) conversations with many in the mortgage industry regarding how unregulated the industry actually is, how it would be near impossible for legislation to clean up the mess. The Mortgage Industry needs something more than new Statements and Policies from regulatory agencies, with a few sacrificial lambs served up for show.

Does anyone see the parallels between the Enrons & WorldComs and the mortgage industry? These books are cooked ‘X-tra well done’…ahhh, I can hear the paper hum of all the paper shredders as I type this.

Via my blogging here and ActiveRain it’s become very evident that unless you are inside the mortgage industry, you’re an outsider, and if you’re an outsider, you’ pay in cold hard cash. Even Realtors, designated and educated real estate professionals, have little idea about how the mortgage industry ‘works’. This amazes me since most Realtors tried to tell me how to do my job..? ;)

There’s no other industry that makes you pay for what you don’t know quite like the mortgage business. Michael and I like to call the greater traditional mortgage shops out there:

The Mortgage Cartel.

 Here’s a little story to support ‘my claims’, followed by the Realespace.com solution…

The Mortgage Cartel has been busy burning wagons and taking scalps since the mid 1980’s, with the dawn of the mortgage broker. It was the Wild West and the Gold Rush all wrapped in one. Brokers jumped claims and worked the angles including something known as yield spread premium (YSP).

YSP was introduced by the banks as a way for borrowers to finance closing costs through a voluntary increase in their interest rates. At least that was the idea. It was only a matter of time before brokers hijacked YSP and turned it into a clandestine profit center financed by unwitting consumers who had no idea what interest rates they actually qualified for. It was a recipe for disaster.

The passage of Regulation X in 1992 defined and outlawed hidden lender kick-backs. Post Reg X, brokers were forced to be more creative in order to maintain their hefty back-end "rips." While typical loan fees ranged from 1%–3%, there was almost always another 1% - 3% in hidden YSP camouflaged by ambiguous documentation and verbal gymnastics.

The problem with Reg X was that it only addressed the mortgage broker—leaving mortgage bankers, for all intents and purposes, untouchable. To this day, direct lenders like DiTech can lawfully withhold information from the borrower during the process of mortgage program and rate selection. Things were bad, but they were about to get worse.

By the late 1990’s, networked information technology had reduced the task of pre-qualifying a mortgage to a point and click affair. Online brokerages like Ameriquest, DiTech, and eLoan emerged, waving a red cape at a bull market of consumers eager to reap the benefits of the New Economy. By 2002, the Disinformation Age of real estate finance was in full swing.

Operating beyond the reach of Reg X, online uber-shills sucked billions of dollars in overpaid interest expense out of the economy through such notorious schemes as DiTech’s "$395 Flat-Fee Loana Trojan horse packed with up to 3 points in hidden yield spread courtesy of an inflated interest rate.

At the peak of the refi boom, the Mortgage Cartel had effectively turned the Internet against consumers making the process of obtaining a mortgage online nothing more than a faster ride down the same dark alley. The disturbing truth is, if you got a mortgage between 1987 - 2007, the overwhelming odds are your monthly payment harbors a broker’s secret payday. And if you got your loan through a direct lender, you can all but guarantee it.

With bankers on one side and brokers on the other, the consumer was bound to get squeezed. When comparing identical offers from a mortgage broker and a mortgage banker, consumers routinely chose the more expensive loan.

 

Faced with the most uneven of playing fields, many brokers rationalized a culture of deception. One look at a typical HUD-1 broker closing statement is all the proof you need. Nevertheless, it was the online direct lender that posed the most imminent threat to consumers. Why? Because it wasn’t perceived as one.

To Be Continued….




Also See:

e-Lenders: When Thieves Compete, you Lose

Transpareny in the Mortgage Service Industries

 

18 commentsJeff Corbett • March 30 2007 08:04PM

Mortgage Pin Nears Housing Bubble

The Mortgage Pin Nears the Housing BubbleThere was an explosion of mortgage products on the scene from 2000 to 2005, going from hundreds to tens-of-thousands.

ANYONE could get a loan, even dead people.

On 3/10/2007 it should be no secret that the mortgage world is on the verge of an epic correction. Fraud permeates the industry from the top down, with New Century looking to be the early mover under the ‘debacle’ category, although many more are sure to follow.

Reading any of the insider trades shows a list of bankers and wholesalers who are exercising damage control, by making major changes to their underwriting guidelines, closing shop, and/or settling lawsuits on the cheap now. It’s all of the biggest names in the industry.
The Problem:

The dream of homeownership was afforded to alot of people who had no business buying a home. State your terms (with alot of coaching), loan was delivered.

Brokers, Bankers, and the willing consumers should shoulder the blame. Some people were preyed upon, others played the game- Silently rationalizing the ramifications.

The Fallout.

  • Couple wholesale lenders tightening up their qualifying guidelines substantially (or eliminating them all together), with a record $1,000,000,000,000 in maturing Adjustable Rate Mortgages, and you get an ENORMOUS pool of demand with no supply. The products many will need don’t exist anymore.

Mortgage-x.com chart

  • The Indexes: LIBOR, MTA, CMT, COFI, COSI, MBS Market, etc are all categorically and substantially higher than they were 3 years ago all but guaranteeing a minimum 1% rate increase, and as much as 4%. Refinancing into a lower rate without hi costs will be near impossible.
  • The Foreclosure Boom. As with any market correction, someone stands to benefit- If you subscribe to the logic that one should ‘buy’ in a down market and ’sell’ in an up market, it’s about to be a Bear of time in the real estate investment arena.

An imminent foreclosure boom means property is about to go on sale in a big way for the financially literate (which is shockingly low in our First World Nation) who are in position to snap up the deals; make no mistake, there are droves awaiting this scenario to play out. It’s the 90/10 rule in full effect.


As these ‘discounted sales’ are recorded future values become deflated as well, appraisers use recently sold comparable homes as the basis for establishing current values.

Ive been called a nay-sayer and a fear monger...alas the prophecy is coming true ;) 

Pop

*bursting sound*

Also see:

Mortgage Industry’s Internal Civil War

-
Interest Rate Pricing. The Disturbing Truth


Deceptive Mortgage Marketing Tactics

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FBI ISSUES MORTGAGE FRAUD NOTICE IN CONJUNCTION WITH MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION

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“Mortgage brokers call for study of foreclosures” Inman Real Estate News.
Feeling the icy wind of stronger regulation on their necks and fearing the worst from agitated regulators bent on layering on even more protections for consumers, mortgage brokers are calling for what they hope will be pre-emptive action in the form of an independent government inquiry into the causal factors of the rising foreclosures taking place across the country.”

-
“Regulatory fire may torch lending business” Inman Real Estate News
“Fear of fraud is fueling a rush of new state laws intended to protect consumers. But in its path, this blazing regulatory fire may torch many financial services providers unable to keep up with all the new requirements.

Thx to mortgage-x.com for their chart :)

7 commentsJeff Corbett • March 11 2007 09:14AM

The Long Tail of Real Estate Listings

Long Tail Wiki There have been a few posts floating around about the end of the traditional MLS…not a MLS, but the MLS.

The ‘Give us your data and we’ll charge you for it and tell you how you can(t) use it’ MLS.

Trulia, Google, Realogy, Zillow, etc all to one extent or another are fostering this shift away from an antiquated system. IDX SUX, the alternatives are far better and free.

The ‘MLS’ is already dead, pretty soon the stench will drive away even the most loyal users.

As the Alternative Listing Services (ALS) improve and homogenize, they feed the Long Tail, the bottomless consumer appetite for information. Whoever has the longest tail, wins.

Now, ive been afforded the same conventional education where Psychology says consumers are more likely to choose if offered limited choices. In reality, that theory is dead (too).

Today, right now, consumers want it all. They want to see everything thats available while shopping. And there are never seems to be too many choices.

500 cable channels are a testament to that, so are iTunes, Amazon, eBay, Google…its a Long Tail economy/market and real estate is not exempt, although it resists.

In response to Greg Swann’s post– that the small guy would get wiped if big brokerage took their listings ‘in-house’– This actually happening is far more Orwellian than the idea of ‘Open Listings’.

Dual Agency or any other poorly disguised impostor, should be illegal…agreed.

Greg mistakenly feels that I advocate Realty.bots as the solution– ‘Terminator’ style, i.e. the machines will eventually rule the domain.

BA’s should evaluate, integrate/implement the Realty.bots and a host of other ‘Widgets’ for their benefit instead of combat them as a detriment to their ‘craft’…

Via a comment thread, my proposition for BA’s was pretty simple, (IMHO)
Buyers Agents should charge similar to the attorney or accountant model:

  • Interview and asses the client and their needs.
  • Determine the amount of hours it should take to handle their situation.
  • Establish a retainer contract that agrees to pay the BA this cost POC.
  • If the scope of work obviously exceeds the retainer $$, start adding up the hours and charge appropriately.

Also see:

Google Gets Deeper into Real Estate Listings

Trulia Lands the Big One

3 commentsJeff Corbett • March 11 2007 09:12AM

Buyers Agents Beware

A recent post over on the Inman blog, a question stoked some embers in my head:

If the DOJ wins and NAR is forced to retract policies, what is the likely chain of events to follow? Who wins and who loses?

Gregg Swan of BloodHound fame says:

If the DOJ tries to play pirate with the current system, the big brokerages may go all in-house, which they could easily do already. Then there will be no small brokerages.

I usually side with Greg, but not here ;)

Going ‘in-house’ would be suicidal for any brokerage, analogous to cutting ones face off to spite the nose. There are already too many alternative listing ’services’ willing to play ball on the consumers terms that are far superior to what most Big House real estate brokerages offer in the way of net savvy search. It may work on the (very) short term, but….

Which leads me to why I started this post:
Protecting The Listing is an Exercise in Futility. Why?

  1. The information contained within the Listing isn’t the RE professionals, it’s the consumers. Theres no getting around this dynamic anymore. Real estate professionals need to stop acting like my home is their proprietary information, and instead market it like it’s their own home.
  2. The relative information built around the listing- Recent sales and dollar amounts, tax records, neighborhood trends, etc is public. Finding it has been the dubious task best left to a Realtor. Today the info has become easy to find and digest as more businesses cultivate, farm, filter, and redisplay these once disparate data pools- in user-friendliest of formats.
  3. It benefits the listing agent (and most importantly the seller) to market a Listing as publicly as possible!

What other public sales related industry keeps information about their products price and whereabouts ambiguous, at best? Imagine walking into Wal-Mart with no signage or methods to stacking their aisles. The only way you could find a tube of toothpaste was to ask one of the 500 employees, who would then only show you where and tell you how much, if you signed a contract that paid them to do so. This makes 0 sense.

I can appreciate the Listing Agents revenue model, as it aligns well with seller incentives- Get me the best price for my home. Higher price = Higher commission. Happy client = Happy Realtor. Completely reasonable.

Telling me to fork over a % of my homes value for a Buyers Agent is rudely illogical and cost prohibitive in todays market. This isn’t just the opinion of a notorious flogger in the real estate blogger space, its quite popular amongst the consumer status-quo too.

Look deeply- protecting the Listing is all about keeping the Buyers Agent alive and over funded. What other purpose does ‘proprietizing’ a Listing serve?

Really, how difficult is it to ‘be’ a Buyers Agent today and get paid tens-of-thousands of dollars to show someone else’s data?

What’s their incentive to get me the best price? They get paid more if I pay more (as a buyer).?.?

I’ll go a step further and bet anyone a dollar that I can inform a client as well or better than a typical Buyers Agent in my indigenous market (and many others).

And what I can’t provide? I know someone who can, and at a lot less cost.

    In the consumers eyes, Zillow, Redfin, Trulia, Propsmart, etc. are solutions to TheProblem-The Buyers Agent Welfare Program–Which, ironically, has fostered the growth of these company’s. I admire Redfin for taking the most direct approach to cutting this umbilical cord…Is anyone of them the solution? No. Is their ‘type’ getting close? Yes. What is the killer app that ties it all together? Yet to be identified.

    The above sites have blazed a previously unbeaten path which others (wink-wink) are poised and determined to leverage for the benefit of the consumer…and the real estate professional, provided they can swallow some pride, stop drinking the Kool-Aid, and adopt to todays marketplace. Hoarding information in the Age of Information is a losing proposition.
    Big Business is dead, acting like one should get you shot on site.

    OK…Ive vented enough for the eve..

0 commentsJeff Corbett • March 11 2007 09:10AM

Its Been Awhile...

 Since Ive posted anything on the AR network...a little bit of a sabbatical I guess...Things have been uber-busy and I always get such great feedback from the community, I didn't want to 'short' the comment threads...

SO..Im going to place my last 3 posts from my home blog here...

 

Hope everyone has been well, here in the Rain :) 

1 commentJeff Corbett • March 11 2007 09:06AM